Exact day this summer Putin’s casualties in Ukraine could hit one million (2025)

There could be one million Russian casualties in Ukraine later this year, according to estimates - Mad Vlad's forces have suffered big losses since the full-scale invasion in 2022

A grim statistic suggests the exact day Vladimir Putin’s forces could suffer its one millionth casualty since his horrific full-scale invasion on Ukraine in 2022.

Mad Vlad’s forces have suffered an incredible 935,160 casualties - that is those who have been killed or wounded - among troops in Ukraine since the bloody invasion, according to statistics from the General Staff of Ukraine's Armed Forces up to April 15.

If the figures are correct and should such casualties continue to pile up at the same bloody rate, it could leave Mad Vlad and his band of daft Kremlin cronies facing one million Russian troops injured or dead by July 3 this year.

Russia has suggested the figures are inflated, but they are not far off estimates elsewhere. In March, the UK Ministry of Defence (MoD) said the “Russian Armed Forces have likely sustained approximately 900,000 casualties", adding that somewhere between 200,000 and 250,000 had been killed.

The figures, made up of regular troops, pro-Russian rebels and mercenaries, are the biggest losses Russia has suffered since World War Two. The BBC’s Russian service and the Mediazona news website said in late March the number of verified Russian troops killed in Ukraine has gone above 100,000.

Such a high casualty rate could be down to a number of factors. In December, the US-based Institute for the Study of War said Russia was deploying “meat-grinder” tactics to try and push back Ukrainian defenders. The ISW said that for every square kilometre gained, Mad Vlad’s forces are losing around 53 troops.

The development of drones and glide bombs have also had an impact.

The number of casualties per day is also subject to fluctuations. It is not clear how diplomatic talks between the US, Ukraine and Russia may impact the figures and if the Kremlin intends to continue to push forward its troops despite high losses.

The casualty rate could also change again later this year if predictions of analysts in Kyiv are correct. They say Moscow is planning a fresh spring offensive to ramp up the pressure on Ukraine during peace talks.

Ukraine also estimated that since the full-scale invasion, Russia had lost the following:

• 1,364 multiple launch rocket systems
• 44,339 vehicles and fuel tanks
• 26,290 artillery systems
• 22,150 armoured fighting vehicles.
• 1,132 air defense systems
• 370 airplanes
• 335 helicopters
• 32,691 drones
• 28 ships and boats
• One submarine

The US is still trying to broker a ceasefire, meanwhile. US Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Steve Witkoff, President Donald Trump’s special envoy, will travel to Paris this week for talks with European allies on US efforts to negotiate a peace deal between Russia and Ukraine.

Moscow and Kyiv agreed last month to implement a 30-day halt on strikes on energy facilities, but Russia has kept up daily strikes.

Both parties have differed on the start time for stopping strikes and alleged daily breaches by the other side. Moscow has effectively refused to accept a comprehensive ceasefire that Mr Trump has pushed and Ukraine has endorsed.

Russia has made it conditional on a halt in Ukraine’s mobilisation efforts and Western arms supplies, which are demands rejected by Ukraine.

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